Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 1459.333725 1696.183978 1972.665595 2322.639334 2758.703635 3290.711802 3.999218e+03
2024-12-15 1142.821425 1435.297804 1814.765883 2355.866887 3129.634519 4233.129620 5.999686e+03
2024-12-22 981.664943 1287.083144 1707.826907 2351.688816 3354.874188 4940.708717 7.833117e+03
2024-12-29 879.360622 1196.077047 1655.659806 2404.779802 3668.522120 5875.716923 1.047883e+04
2025-01-05 769.350016 1073.300871 1530.664564 2310.627240 3705.851201 6336.206758 1.244997e+04
2025-01-12 685.053085 976.360309 1428.467004 2230.319424 3741.481516 6797.435133 1.468135e+04
2025-01-19 614.648882 891.645337 1332.766399 2141.578224 3736.188073 7168.649776 1.692635e+04
2025-01-26 590.912670 877.173721 1348.741113 2252.643606 4148.082326 8604.067660 2.323993e+04
2025-02-02 561.789516 850.179110 1339.039698 2312.618444 4468.379212 9962.153625 3.073266e+04
2025-02-09 531.597998 817.948731 1315.545932 2340.489311 4724.068021 11272.440586 3.972995e+04
2025-02-16 498.705825 777.771552 1272.667322 2320.985483 4862.319264 12317.257998 4.916880e+04
2025-02-23 481.747155 763.686195 1276.197010 2399.976733 5270.457604 14440.042665 6.864862e+04
2025-03-02 468.034734 755.232889 1291.645336 2513.953077 5827.933874 17540.842453 1.048570e+05
2025-03-09 448.658882 734.758190 1281.422053 2568.652419 6245.341362 20493.637549 1.546092e+05
2025-03-16 425.066345 704.108367 1246.788133 2558.030653 6463.116422 22800.142291 2.130932e+05
2025-03-23 410.132563 688.552436 1241.461059 2619.370433 6938.061489 26846.971982 3.401488e+05
2025-03-30 382.477233 646.230995 1175.266991 2513.484454 6814.081743 27636.485858 4.151286e+05
2025-04-06 358.634899 609.742129 1118.371564 2424.069330 6726.414645 28626.507536 5.184245e+05
2025-04-13 336.050666 574.294526 1060.795393 2325.092435 6579.471316 29184.418966 6.279677e+05
2025-04-20 331.944914 575.276497 1083.290712 2448.927725 7323.481948 36664.087421 1.409728e+06
2025-04-27 323.819342 567.475945 1085.258624 2515.866827 7878.385897 43862.654009 3.191013e+06
2025-05-04 313.814815 555.074359 1075.434663 2547.000914 8301.382634 50898.281392 7.760179e+06
2025-05-11 301.214184 536.433534 1049.354686 2525.213107 8483.931184 56124.590112 1.821103e+07